AW Monday 30th March

Been to busy this morning finalising the 2008 race database.
Have had a look at todays racing - but not in great detail as normal.

2.30 Linga
Wouldn't put anyone off Kipchak but very limited data as Clive Brittain doesn't have many selling stakes runners. The odds on price does not inspire me to bet on this race.
UPDATE
KIPCHACK 1st 1/2fav

3.50 Wolv
Keep Ringing looks my likely bet in this. A filly taking on the colts but can do it.
It ran over 7fur last time and finished well enough to suggest wanted further. Watching the race she appeared to struggle to keep up with pace.
I have to fully research more on this before final decision but have identified negatives for numbers 2, 3 & 4 (nr)


UPDATE
The massive drift on Keep Ringing was a worry
The negatives (Heading East and Hector Spectre) didn't bother me but Lastroarofdtiger and Dhania had to be respected.
The bets were adjusted in running which resulted in a profit as Keep Ringing and Lastroarofdtiger dead heated as winners.
Backed
Keep Ringing 2.83 £219.83 £401.40
Dhania 6.55 £40.00 £222.00
Lastroarofdtiger 10.16 £25.00 £229.00

Lay
Keep Ringing
1.3 £50.00 £65.00 £15.00
1.72 £50.00 £86.00 £36.00
2.1 £7.73 £16.23 £8.50
2.1 £42.27 £88.77 £46.50
2.2 £50.00 £110.00 £60.00
2.4 £8.82 £21.17 £12.35
2.4 £41.18 £98.83 £57.65

Profit on race £152




5.00 Ling
Bee Stinger stands out in this one but form with Murrin may be closer.
Need to check weights.
UPDATE
Bee Stinger unpl

5.30 Linga
Everaard comes out reasonable on system and was surprised to see that it is so low in price.

Bit of work to do before finalising bets.

UPDATE
Everaard unplaced.
Looking at Elsworths record last year in 3yo maiden races it was surprising how low the S.P's were for most of his runners (many with no form) and very few winners.
TRD
13.45

Bank End £1,000.61
Bank Start £930