UTTOXTER BUMPER Sat 15/11/2008

Todays Uttox bumper
Analysis of all Uttox Open & Intermediate back to 1988 (not mares)
4yo FTO 14 winners (approx 50% of all 4yo on database)
5yo FTO 11 winners (approx 40% of all 5yo on database)
6yo FTO 1 winner (10% as above)

4yo placed one run 25%
5yo placed one run 20%
6yo placed one run 20% on low figure

LB (long break of 100 plus days without a run)
4yo 40% on low figure
5yo 55%
6yo 0%

Uttox Races in Autumn months show high ratio for FTO 5yo's and LB

Favourites analysis at Uttox show 14 from 58 races with 4 from 17 in autumn months. All 4 winners were 5yo's.

Conclusions;
There is a definite bias towards 5yo's especially in Autumn at this track.
Narrowed down to
Strokestown
Azulada Bay
Brooks Lane
Lambrini Classic.

RESULT
1st Strokestown 5/2 fav
2nd Sir Ian 15/2
3rd Mongoose Alert 25/1

REVIEW
The winner was a 5yo and FAVOURITE which now means all 5 winning favs in Autumn were 5yo's. This one was backed into favourite having been double those odds prior to race betting. The other three mentioned all drifted and Azuluda Bay & Lambrini drifted substantially on Betfair.