DONCASTER St Leger Meeting Setember

Hopefully this will be on but a lot of rain around at time and loads of abandonments this year.
Will put up some race stats after declarations are known and form study

WEDS Not much in way of stats
THURSDAY
2.00 PARK HILL fills Group race
An interesting STAT about this race is that almost every winner over the past 20 years has never run as far as the distance (15 fur) of this race.
The only horses to buck the trend were Book at Bedtime and Discreet Brief - both
3yo's.

That raises a question about ALLEGRETTO who has won over 2 miles and this year has run over 16f 20f and 12f in her 3 runs. She has solid Group 1 form.
All the older winners of this race (five) were up in distance by at least 2 furlongs from previous runs.
The only 5yo winner Sweet Song came into this race with a Group 3 win in its last run.

All the 3yo wiiners (11 since it came open to 4yo and above) had won a race in current season.
This stat may exclude Presbyterian Nun from the win bet but she may improve for the 3fur extra in distance like 8 of the past winners.

GRAVITATION comes here as a first season 3yo and only one 3yo winner since the race became open to older horses was a first season runner. Also Gravitation is not going up in distance for this race having ran 3rd in Royal Ascot Vase over 2 miles.

Interesting that Book of Bedtime also ran 3rd in Vase and was the only first season
3yo runner to win. Also both ran at Goodwood prior to this.

Gull Wing was entered for the race last year and had then run in Galtres Stakes which is a key race. She has run well in her two races over 14fur but ran poorly last time out.

RESULT
ALLEGRETTO 1st 7/4 fav (easy winner)


1.30 2yo Conditions race 7FThis was posted on Betfair Forum just prior to race
Difficult to get a line on this race regarding stats.
No single run winner this year (3 from 9 qualifiers)
Winner LTO with two runs 1 from 4 qualifiers (Midnight Cruiser)

looking at Weights gives another prespective
9-2 4 wins from 9 AND 5 seconds (Courageous)
9-0 0 from 3 (midnight Cruiser)
8-12 3 from 7 (Chief Red Cloud & Crackdown)
8-9 1 from 6 (Bigalos Star & Secrecy)
8-7 0-1 (Yorksters Girl)

On the weight basis its Courageous each way.
However one of the FTO runners may win.

RESULT
SECRECY 1st 12/1
COURAGEOUS 2nd 16/1 (5.6 for place)